Note: All win probabilities brought to you by Stats Insider.
Geelong (48%) vs West Coast (52%)
MCG, 7:50pm (AEST) Friday September 13th
Team News: The major talking point for this one is the inclusion of Rhys Stanley, while a second player will need to be added after both Mitch Duncan and Gary Rohan have been all but ruled out. Adding a ruck will allow Mark Blicavs to shift to defence, while Zac Tuohy will likely play forward in place of Rohan. Both Cam Guthrie and Brandan Parfitt are the next in line, with Guthrie the favourite.
No drastic changes will be made following the defending premiers’ 55-point victory over the Bombers other than the omission of suspended forward Willie Rioli. Key position pair Oscar Allen and Tom Cole travelled to Melbourne, with one of the two likely to come in.
Key Player for Geelong: Tom Hawkins – the spearhead forward will need a big showing after kicking zero goals and four behinds against Collingwood. He’ll be challenged by a powerful Eagles defence, but has the ability to turn a game at any stage.
Key Player for West Coast: Luke Shuey – a proven performer on the big stage, Shuey will have to be at his best against a dominant midfield, an important player that will motivate his teammates as shown last week.
Prediction: Shaping up to be a modern day epic, the Eagles with a touch more class. Eagles by 6.
Brisbane (61%) vs Greater Western Sydney (39%)
Gabba, 7:25pm (AEST) Saturday September 14
Team News: Chris Fagan will assess his options to replace injured veteran Mitch Robinson (hamstring), who adds a whole lot of aggression to this team. If Brisbane want to continue to be aggressive, both Rhys Mathieson and NIck Robertson are two guys who could fill that hole. Ryan Lester can play on the wing, so to Lewis Taylor. An important selection meeting.
The Giants come into this one full of hope, but will be without one of their warriors in Brett Deledio, who may have played his last ever game. Unlucky to miss the elimination win, Adam Tomlinson is the pick of the bunch to come in to help stretch Brisbane’s midfield.
Last Time They Met: Round 16, 2019 – Lions defeated Giants by 20 points at GIANTS Stadium.
Key Player for Brisbane: Charlie Cameron – the All-Australian forward pocket has had Dylan Grimes in his left pocket the last few weeks, and will come up against veteran Heath Shaw. Charlie at his best is a hard man to stop, and he could light the Gabba up on more time.
Key Player for GWS: Lachie Whitfield – the running machine was at his dominant best against the Bulldogs, and will be given the green light to roam the Gabba on Saturday Night. His skills make him a major threat anywhere on the ground.
Prediction: Giants will be riding high after last week, causing an upset at the Gabba. Giants by 8.