Former Collingwood coach Mich Malthouse believes the Pies cannot make the eight after a disappointingย start to the season.

The Magpies haveย lost of their opening three matches, with the only victoryย coming via a lastย minute come from behind win over Richmond in Round 2.

"Twelve wins will get you in the eight,โ€ Malthouse told Fox Sports'ย Back Page Live.

โ€œWith 19 games to go, Collingwood has to win 11 of 19.

โ€œThatโ€™s a simple fact of mathematics. Twelve will generally get you in the eight. Gold Coast, who have won three, now need to win nine of 19.

โ€œIโ€™ve got a sneaky suspicion that the top nine sides will probably stay as the top nine."

The top nine sides as the ladder sits at the moment,ย are Sydney, Gold Coast, North Melbourne, Western Bulldogs, Geelong, Adelaide, West Coast, Port Adelaide and Hawthorn.

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