As we enter the final week of the season’s first month, the gap between the good and bad sides has started to creep toward chasmic.
The sample sizes every team – and each of their players – has provided the multitude of Fantasy coaches has also begun to grow.
Ambiguity is starting to subside, and clarity is beginning to arrive.
Keen coaches know who needs to go and who needs to be included if their ranking is to continue improving, whereas coaches on the other side of the coin may still need support at the selection table.
Whether you are confident your 30-man squad is set, or your list needs an overhaul, we are once again here to lend a helping hand.
Here are the names that every coach should be moving in, shipping off and keeping an eye on ahead of lockout.
Cameron Guthrie ($812,000)
To anyone that saw the Chuck Nolan look-a-like’s performance on Easter Monday, this should come as no surprise.
With 43 disposals in the Cats’ five-point win over the Hawks, Guthrie surpassed the 150 Fantasy point mark.
Averaging 31 touches and 117.3 Fantasy points across the first three weeks of the 2021 season, it is a tad mind boggling that the 2020 All-Australian’s ownership sits at just 1%.
Jack Ziebell ($682,000)
Although the Arden Streeters were demolished to the tune of 128-points, Ziebell himself passed the 130-point mark.
Like Guthrie, the former first rounder has an ownership of just 1%, has a season low score of 82 and has a triple figure average (105.3) entering Round 4.
Even though North Melbourne appear unbackable this year, their skipper looks a rock-solid option for your forward line.
Changkuoth Jiath ($444,000)
Despite a career total of just 10-games and still shy of his 22nd birthday, ‘CJ’ has been superb so far in 2021.
The fleet of foot defender oozes confidence every time he flies for the footy and on each occasion he has run it out of the Hawks’ back 50.
Across his three appearances this season, Jiath has averaged 23.3 disposals and 84.3 Fantasy points.
With an even tonne posted in Round 3 and an affordable price for your backline, now is the time to join the 4% of coaches that have the up and comer in their side.
Jake Stringer ($408,000)
Despite slotting four goals in the Bombers’ blistering win on the weekend, don’t pull the trigger on the 2016 Premiership Pup just yet.
As consistency and buy in have been the knocks on Stringers game since departing the kennel in 2017, wait until Saturday afternoon’s 78-point performance becomes the norm.
Still, if that is how the 26-year-old has started his season, you shouldn’t be waiting too long.
Connor Rozee ($508,000)
In his first game since returning from foot surgery, the Port Augusta kid posted a lean stat line of seven kicks, eight handballs and just 57 Fantasy points.
Despite these numbers, don’t fold if you are holding, but stay away if you don’t.
Jason Johannisen ($574,000)
Across the first three weeks of the season, the Western Bulldogs have averaged 30 rebound 50s per game.
Across these three games, not once have they topped their opposition in this statistic, as they have won the footy further afield.
Despite owning a Norm Smith Medal and basing his game upon running the Sherrin out of the backline, Jason Johannisen’s job security should worry his owners. As should his 15 touches and 55-points.
Keep an eye on the South African born speedster, as his ceiling is high, but don’t move him in just yet.
Hayden Young ($369,000)
If you are like me – and a plethora of other Fantasy coaches – you started the season with Hayden Young in your backline.
And if you are like me, you would have been underwhelmed with the return you were receiving on your investment, with the teenager posting nothing higher than 71 points.
After finishing Sunday afternoon with 24 points and a strapped-up hamstring, if you are like me, you have moved Young on.
Jordan Clark ($437,000)
After winking, beckoning and teasing coaches with a 135-point performance in the AAMI Community Series, coaches moved like the clappers to add Clark to their backline ahead of Round 1.
Jordan Clark… 135 points. Lock?
He made the Fantasy Watch section of the Geelong v Essendon Match Report… and will make plenty of teams off the back of that performance.https://t.co/AaiYizdWss#AFLFantasy #AAMISeries pic.twitter.com/9SB0b9l84W
— AFL Fantasy (@AFLFantasy) March 6, 2021
After posting a season high of 77 points and an average of 62, the Western Australian’s 38% of owners should be moving as fast to trade him out before Round 4.
Stephen Coniglio ($670,000)
After limping off with an ankle injury on Sunday night, Stephen Coniglio’s smattering of owner’s heads were almost certainly in their hands.
With a current average of just 67.7 points, a season price change of -$74k and a stint on the sidelines looming, if the winless Giants’ skipper is in your side, get him out as soon as possible.
Another week and another impending Rising Star nomination for a bargain basement Swan.
If you haven’t picked up on this early trend, you are likely to be languishing at the bottom of your respective leagues.
James Jordan also continued on his merry way with Melbourne, posting 75-points in their win in Canberra and taking his season average to 87.
If you have started your season without these next generation generators, look to include them with an early season downgrade.
Highest Round 4 Breakevens
Lowest Round 4 Breakevens
Our Current Trade Plans
Paddy Dow to Deven Robertson
Hayden Young to Changkuoth Jiath
Jye Caldwell’s Round 2 injury left me stuck with the disappointing Paddy Dow coming into the Easter long weekend. However, after another sup par performance, I have permanently put a line through his name, with Deven Robertson replacing him.
With Hayden Young finishing Sunday on the pine, I have moved him on for the equally cheap, but exceedingly exciting Changkuoth Jiath.
Jordan De Goey to Deven Robertson
Hayden Young to Jordan Ridley
Like Ed, I’m also stuck with Dow. But instead of sideways trading Young and having an ongoing D6 headache, I’m finding some cash to turn the injured Docker into a premium (an unfortunate 7k short of Josh Lloyd).
De Goey has been disappointing and the forward rookies have been performing, so I think a stacked backline and shallow forward line structure is the way to go.