Just ticking over the half-way point of season 2019 leads supporters to beg the question about how their club fares in the back half of the year.
Who they play a second time? How many interstate games? How many winnable games? Are finals a realistic possibility?
Champion Data has crunched some numbers to outline who’s got the easiest draw and who’s got the hardest, based on current ladder positions.
Ironically, four of the top five sides are deemed to have the easiest runs home, according to the Champion Data.
First-placed Geelong is listed as the second-easiest draw given that they play only four sides within the top-four and majority of their games coming against those who stand in the bottom 10.
Their difficulty rating of -3.5, heightens the Cats’ chances of making the top four, given everything runs smoothly.
The Cats’ next three matches come up against top eight teams, with Richmond in round 12 before the bye, before they face the Power in Adelaide than playing against their arch-rivals (Adelaide) the following week in Geelong.
As for the Pies (third) and the Lions (fifth), both only play four top eight sides with the rest of the matches labelled as winnable given the ladder positions and form.
Reigning premiers West Coast are ranked 14th on the hardest draw with a difficulty of -2.5 with eight games against the bottom 10 and only three against the top eight.
West Coast’s games against the top eight are against the Pies at Optus Stadium and the Crows in round 21, whilst the following week they come up against the Tigers at the MCG.
Despite having been rated with the softer starts to their campaigns in season 2019, both Adelaide and Port Adelaide are amongst the teams with the worst draws to end their season.
The Crows enjoy a tough month with their next four matches against the Giants, Tigers, Cats and the Power in the showdown.
The Port suffers a similar run as after the Showdown in round 16, they come up against Brisbane, Richmond and the Giants as they look to hold their spot in the eight.
St Kilda (5-6), who sit 12th on the ladder, are deemed to have the easiest run home, according to the data collected and have a difficulty rating of -4.7.
The Saints play against four top eight teams including Brisbane (home), Richmond (home), Geelong (away) and the Crows (away). The rest of their seven games are against bottom 10 teams, which can go a long way in helping Alan Richardson keep his job, giving they notch up a few wins.
On the contrary, the brown and gold have been labelled with the worst remaining fixture given that they play six games against the top eight including the Cats, Pies, Eagles twice (Round 15 & 23) and the Giants late in the year.
The other five games are against teams who are also vying for finals, but the Hawks (11th) must win these if they are any chance to feature in September.
The recorded data gives a current indication as to what teams face, given their current ladder positions.
Here’s a summary of what the remaining games look for your club:
|Games against||Games against|
|Club||Difficulty||Rank||Top 8||Bottom 10|