Champion Data recently ran 100,000 simulations of the 2018 AFL home-and-away season, and have now released the findings.
According to their results, it seems as though Adelaide, Sydney and Port Adelaide are favoured to finish inside the top two, as they three clubs finished with a home qualifying final 30%, 29% and 27% of the time respectively.
GWS look set to round out the top four, but it's the position a few spots down that may look the most out of place.
According to the numbers, Collingwood's average position in the 100,000 simulations was 7.3, and they finished inside the top two 15% of the time, the top four on 32% of occasions, and were a top eight side 63% of the time.
Surprisingly, their most likely finish across the 100,000 simulations was third, despite failing to play finals football each of the last four years.
At the other end of the table, North Melbourne finished last 21% of the time, the highest percentage of any side in the competition.
Western Bulldogs fans look set for a nervy season, with the club's most likely finish eighth, although their average finish was 8.9, which could seen them hovering around the eight for most of the season.
Do you agree with Champion Data's numbers?
