Backed by the power of third-party research and nuanced analytics, Betfair's Brownlow Predictor has forecast the former Docker to claim the honour on Sunday, with Oliver sitting less than a vote in arrears.
BETFAIR'S BROWNLOW PREDICTIONS FOR THE 2022 SEASON
BETFAIR'S VOTING METHODS
Six Brownlow Medal votes are assigned to each game, however, the Betfair predictive method does not follow the 3-2-1 formula of the AFL. Votes vary from 0.5 to 3, allowing for more than three players to be acknowledged. This means less players are overlooked, and when the model is confident, more Brownlow votes can be allocated to a particular player. The trap of allocating 3-2-1 is that there are many matches with few standout players, and impactful 3s and 2s can be allocated to players that the umpires didn’t notice.
BETFAIR'S VOTING TIERS
3 votes: Clearly the best player on the ground
2.5 votes: Questionably the best player on the ground
2 votes: Clear second best player on the ground or possible best in a crowded field
1.5 votes: Potentially second best player on the ground, often shared by multiple players
1 vote: Likely third best, but can be shared by multiple players
0.5 votes: Wasn’t the standout but their influence should be acknowledged
Punters can learn more about the agency's prediction model by following the link HERE.