According to our friends at Stats Insider, here is the list of each team's likely top vote-getter for the 2019 Brownlow Medal:
Stats Insider has taken a completely new approach to Brownlow Medal modelling, using in-game and historical statistics to identify the DNA of a 3-vote worthy game, whilst also diving into the human element of an umpire’s voting perception.
Download the complete 2019 Brownlow Medal report at Stats Insider by clicking here.
Adelaide
Matt Crouch is projected to win the most votes for the Crows, with a 60.6% chance to lead the team. Crouch averaged 32.6 disposals per game and was a shining light in what was a dim 2019 for the Crows.
Brisbane
Lachie Neale is the clear favourite for the most votes for the Lions, with a 94.4% chance to win that honour. He has had a brilliant 2019 season and is a deserving leader and winner for most votes for the Lions.
Carlton
Patrick Cripps is the sure-fire leader to win the most votes for Carlton, with a whopping 99.9% chance to win the most votes for the Blues and why not, he's been the star man and led from the front all season in his first season as captain.
Collingwood
Brodie Grundy is the leading contender to take out the most votes for the Pies, with a big 81.5% possibility to take out the Collingwood votes. He was instrumental in almost every game for the Pies and is deserving of that percentage.
Essendon
Zach Merrett is the clear leader for the Bombers, with a projected 91.6% chance to get the most votes for the team. Merrett has been the most consistent Bomber all season and his projection to win most votes is definitely warranted.
Fremantle
Nat Fyfe is the out and out leader for the Dockers' most votes with a whopping 99.3% probability. Fyfe has been super consistent all season long and is definitely the almost-certainty to take out the most votes for Fremantle.
Geelong
Patrick Dangerfield is the sure-fire leader to take out the most votes for the Cats, with a 93.7% probability to take the most votes. Dangerfield has been consistent all year, but his finish to the season will almost certainly put him over the line here for the Cats.
Gold Coast
David Swallow is the leader to take out the most votes for the Suns at a 65.7% projection. The Suns had a very average 2019 season without much success, but Swallow should take out the most votes.
Greater Western Sydney
Tim Taranto is the leader to take out most votes for the Giants, with a 36.1% chance. The Giants had a very evenly spread year, but Taranto should come through due to his consistency and further ability to make a big-time impact on games. Stephen Coniglio (30.9%) and Jeremy Cameron (28.4) are close by.
Hawthorn
James Worpel is projected to take out the Hawks' most votes, with a 67.7% probability. Worpel broke out in a big way this season for the Hawks and was consistent throughout the season. Worpel will poll a fair few votes and should certainly take out the most votes for the Hawks.
Melbourne
In a disappointing season for the 2018 preliminary finalists, one person shone through all season long, and that is Max Gawn. He is a 91.4% chance to win the most votes for the Dees and was by far the biggest influence for the team consistently all season.
North Melbourne
After a fantastic start to the season where he was the key figure in midfield and a favourite for the Brownlow at one point, Ben Cunnington is the choice to take out the most votes for the Kangaroos, with a 66.3% probability. Cunnington's tough brand of football and ability to find the ball was a spark plug for the Roos all season, and should take out the team's most votes based on that.
Port Adelaide
In a very inconsistent season for the Power, Travis Boak stood tall through it all with his fantastic play all season and should take out the most votes for the Power, with a 96.8% probability. Boak was tremendous and one of the only consistent performers all season for the Power.
Richmond
Dustin Martin is the pick to take out the most votes for the Tigers with a 97.39% chance and is definitely deserving of that percentage after another brilliant campaign in 2019. Martin has led from the front, overcome some challenges and has embraced all that has come to him and been a major influence in especially this second half of the season.
St Kilda
With a 49% chance, Jack Billings is the pick to take out the most votes for the Saints. Billings was a very consistent performer all season for the Saints and went to another level this season, taking huge strides and excelling through all that came his way.
Sydney
At an 84% probability, Luke Parker is the man that is projected to take out the most votes for the Swans. In a disappointing season for the Swans, Parker shone through and performed consistently well for the most part of the season and should certainly take out the most votes.
West Coast
Luke Shuey is the man projected to take out the most votes for the Eagles, with a 62% chance. Shuey has had another brilliant campaign in 2019 and is a big-time key figure in a premiership midfield. Shuey has yet again performed consistently all season and is deserving of the most votes for the Eagles in 2019.
Western Bulldogs
At a 77.4% probability, Marcus Bontempelli is the man that looks set to take out the most votes for the Dogs. Although nowhere near the ball magnet like other players in the Dogs' midfield such as Jack Macrae and Josh Dunkley, Bontempelli impacts a game in a way not many others can, by putting it on the scoreboard and making big moments happen in games his own that ultimately sets him apart from the rest of his teammates. He had another great season in 2019 and looks set to finish with the Dogs' most votes on Brownlow night.
